The chances of a successful nuclear terrorist attack in the decade that began in 2015. Graham allison states that a nuclear terrorist attack on america in the decade ahead is more likely than not. A dirty bomb spreading radioactivity is simple and likely. There are four main alternatives that prospective nuclear terrorists might pursue. Nuclear terrorism list of high impact articles ppts. The basis of nuclear doctrine during the cold war was deterrence. Nuclear terrorism refers to any person or persons who detonate a nuclear weapon in an act of terrorism meaning illegal or immoral use of violence for a political or religious cause. Designing strategies for preventing nuclear and radiological terrorism thus requires finding different admixtures of the three broad approaches, each appropriate to different weapons problems. Some definitions of nuclear terrorism include the sabotage of a nuclear facility andor the detonation of a radiological device, colloquially termed a dirty bomb but consensus is lacking. Deterring state sponsorship of nuclear terrorism michael. Nuclear terrorism definition of nuclear terrorism by the. This important book makes a big contribution to public understanding and to public policy on nuclear terrorism, which might yetdespite the daunting oddsprevent it from ever happening.
The nuclear control institute, since its inception in 1981, has been analyzing the risks of nuclear terrorism and seeking to alert policymakers and the public to the danger. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders. Even before 911, al qaedas attacks demonstrated an organizational capacity. In this vein ferguson and potter have attempted to group terrorist organizationtypes by their. They overcame a 10,000volt security fence, entered without setting off an alarm, broke into the emergency control center, shot a worker, and escaped. If a terrorist group like al qaeda was determined to go nuclear, how might it attempt to do so and what obstacles would it face. Yet in confronting the prospect of nuclear terrorism and there is no more dire threat facing america todaythis logic is flawed. There will be no progress in ensuring global nuclear stability without cooperation. Today, much of the concern over possible nuclear attack comes in the context of rogue states and terrorism. The nuclear terrorism threat the nonproliferation policy.
If they were able to obtain highly enriched uranium or plutonium, building a nuclear bomb is within the capabilities of a wellorganised terrorist group. The greatest challenge to global security is the nuclear threat from rogue states, led by north korea and iran. Some definitions of nuclear terrorism include the sabotage of a nuclear facility andor the detonation of a radiological device, colloquially termed a dirty bomb, but consensus is lacking. Deterring state sponsorship of council on foreign relations. Policymakers consistently identify nuclear terrorism as one of the greatest threats facing. It has been more than years since the publication of nuclear terrorism. To date, most such responses have involved helping governments with the recovery of radioactive sources that.
President obama, the leaders of 46 other nations, the heads of the. Back in the mid1980s, a popular bumper sticker reminded drivers that one nuclear bomb could ruin their whole day. Understanding the threat of nuclear terrorism by evan braden montgomery over the past several years, the prospect of a terrorist group armed with a nuclear weapon has frequently been cited as a genuine and overriding threat to the security of the united states. Key elements of preparing emergency responders for. He is the author or coauthor of over 20 books or major technical reports, and. The bomb was developed in 1961 on the orders of soviet premier nikita kruschchev, designed by andrei sakharov, and detonated a few months later. It is funded and maintained on behalf of partner nations by the government of the united states in its role as cochair of the initiative. Buy nuclear terrorism reprint by allison, graham isbn. In his 2007 book on nuclear terrorism, author michael a. The threat of nuclear terrorism has become a global concern. The international legal framework against chemical, biological. But rarely do we allow ourselves to face squarely the deadliest form of terrorism, because it is almost too scary to think abouta terrorist. Deterring state sponsorship of nuclear terrorism council on.
However, the 3 the global nuclear stockpile stands at roughly 19,000 nuclear weaponsthe nucleararmed states account for an estimated 420 of those weapons, while the nuclear weapon states have the rest. Preventing nuclear terrorism relacionesinternacionales. Levi points out the many obstacles that such a terrorist scheme may encounter, which in turn leads to a host of possible ways that any terrorist plan could be foiled. Nuclear terrorism assessing the threat, developing a response ix terrorist acquisition of nuclear weapons. Serving on the ncrp scientific committee sc 21 that prepared this commentary were. Deterring and dissuading nuclear terrorism 17 with pakistani nuclear scientist abdul qadeer khan having transferred nuclear technology to iran, north korea, and libya, some terrorist organizations may be able to more easily acquire the technology and material to fabricate an improvised nuclear device. Tackling nuclear terrorism in south asia prism national. Levi surveys the issue of nuclear terrorism and explores the decisions a terrorist leader might take in pursuing a nuclear plot. The evolving threat of nuclear terrorism the world has entered an age of mass casualty terrorism, in which certain adversaries seek and have the capability to inflict maximum possible carnage to achieve their ends. Nuclear terrorism denotes the use, or threat of the use, of nuclear weapons or radiological weapons in acts of terrorism, including attacks against facilities where radioactive materials are present. Rossiya, 2329 august 1995, 12, as translated in fbissov95163, 5152. Details of implementation are left to the dhs in concert with state and local authorities. Nuclear power plants are attractive terrorist targets. The report and papers of the international task force on prevention of nuclear terrorism, ed.
Nuclear powers were deterred from attacking each other by the fear of retaliation. Nuclear terrorism could take several forms, from an attack on nuclear power plants and reactors to the detonation of a nuclear bomb in an urban area the international community urgently needs to expand its efforts to secure existing stockpiles of nuclear weapons and materials, particularly in russia, pakistan, and india. Incorporated as a notforprofit foundation in 1971, and headquartered in geneva, switzerland, the forum is tied to no political, partisan or national interests. The countries of primary concern with respect to the nexus of proliferation and terrorism pakistan, north korea, iran, and russiaare each at an inflection point. A leading strategist opens our eyes to the greatest terrorist threat of alland how to prevent it before its too lateamericans in the twentyfirst century are keenly aware of the many forms of terrorism. In this essay, martha crewshaw concludes that the difficulties associated with meeting the requirements for a successful strategy of deterrence suggest that governments and the nuclear power industry would be wise to emphasize prevention of the full range of insider, outsider, and combined insideroutsider terrorist threats from nonstate.
Nuclear terrorism fact sheet april 2010 weapons worth of heu is stored. Expert assessments although no serious terrorist attempts to construct an improvised nuclear device ind have yet been uncovered, terrorism experts cite increasing indications of terrorist groups desiring to create and use such devices. Nuclear terrorism denotes the detonation of a yieldproducing nuclear bomb containing fissile material by terrorists. Todays dangers include nuclear arms proliferation, an increasing risk of nuclear terrorism, and the 35000 warheads that remain in superpowernuclear arsenals, many still on hairtrigger alert. Preventing a nuclear 911 hinges on foiling terrorist efforts to acquire the capability that would allow them to act on their intention. Pakistan continues to build up its nuclear arsenal including the. The attacks of september 11, 2001 have provided a wakeup call for facing the threat of nuclear terrorism. If so, our current preoccupation on nuclear terrorism as if it was a separate or greater. Thus all that the united states and its allies have to do to prevent nuclear terrorism is to prevent terrorists from acquiring a weapon or nuclear material. The book made the case for two seemingly contradictory propositions.
Nuclear proliferation and the potential threat of nuclear. In his new book, deterring nuclear terrorism, robert litwak argues that effective strategies on the state level to prevent nuclear terrorism will. This website is a cooperative project undertaken by nations that have endorsed the global initiative to combat nuclear terrorism. Yet in confronting the prospect of nuclear terrorismand there is no more dire threat facing america todaythis logic is. Nuclear terrorism threats and responses future of the. Internal dynamics of a terrorist entity acquiring biological and chemical weapons, jean pascal zanders part i. Deterring state sponsorship of nuclear terrorism the council on foreign relations cfr is an independent, nonpartisan membership organization, think tank, and. Deterring nuclear terrorism al qaeda and other terrorist groups are determined, as president obama stated, to buy, build or steal a nuclear weapon and would have no problem with using it. Global initiative to combat nuclear terrorism gicnt. In legal terms, nuclear terrorism is an offense committed if a person unlawfully and intentionally uses in any way radioactive material with the intent to cause death or serious bodily. Less destructive but more likely terrorism dangers come from attacks on nuclear facilities that use or process nuclear material. Many countries continue to make efforts to strengthen nuclear security by enhancing systems of nuclear material protection, control. While most of these facilities were designed with security in mind, many reactors were not designed to resist the level of terrorist threat that materialized on september 11th.
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